Birth and Death Patterns Mirroring the Transformation in Human Dispositions and Health Management - A Study Across 100 years in an Indian Town

Authors

  • Anukriti V. Sahni  Data Analyst, MDS Bio-Analytics, Nagpur, Maharashtra, India
  • Sheela N. Shripatre  Data Analyst, MDS Bio-Analytics, Nagpur, Maharashtra, India
  • Ranjana Lade  Deputy Municipal Commissioner, Nagpur Municipal Corporation, Nagpur, Maharashtra, India
  • Rizwan Z. Siddiqui  Additional Municipal Commissioner, Nagpur Municipal Corporation, Nagpur, Maharashtra, India
  • Dhananjay V. Raje  Head, Data Analysis Group, MDS Bio-Analytics, Nagpur, Maharashtra, India

Keywords:

Demography, Time Series Analysis, Forecasting, Trend, Decomposition

Abstract

This study was carried out to unfold the necessary facets of births and deaths over the last 100 years in Nagpur city, India. Trends were observed for the births and deaths taking place daily, monthly, season-wise, yearly and gender-wise; with focus being laid on the seasonal component. These were observed using Trend and Time series Analysis. The study also emphasises on vital statistics’ parameters such as CBR, CDR and IMR. It was realized that while IMR and CBR showed improvements, CDR rose steeply. Other findings elucidate that rainy season is leading while summer season is trailing in the number of births; minimum births occur on Sundays and, male births and deaths are surpassing females. Hospital births gained predominance post 1960. It was observed that health management advanced during this period with average age at death rising from 42 to 57 years.

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International Journal of Scientific Research in Science, Engineering and Technology

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Published

2017-10-31

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Volume 3, Issue 6, September-October-2017

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Research Articles

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[1]
Anukriti V. Sahni, Sheela N. Shripatre, Ranjana Lade, Rizwan Z. Siddiqui, Dhananjay V. Raje, " Birth and Death Patterns Mirroring the Transformation in Human Dispositions and Health Management - A Study Across 100 years in an Indian Town, International Journal of Scientific Research in Science, Engineering and Technology(IJSRSET), Print ISSN : 2395-1990, Online ISSN : 2394-4099, Volume 3, Issue 6, pp.288-299, September-October-2017.