An Intelligent Agent System for Bankruptcy Analysis and Prediction

Authors

  • N. Saipriya  Department of IT, Sreenidhi Institute of Science and Technology Yamnampet, Hyderabad, Telangana, India
  • N. Harshitha  Department of IT, Sreenidhi Institute of Science and Technology Yamnampet, Hyderabad, Telangana, India
  • Sunil Bhutada  Department of IT, Sreenidhi Institute of Science and Technology Yamnampet, Hyderabad, Telangana, India

Keywords:

Bankrupt Analysis, Logistic Regression, Random Forest, Ensemble Methods, Machine Learning

Abstract

The term Bankruptcy can be interpreted as a legal proceeding in which any person or organization is unable to repay the loans. Bankruptcy is one of the crucial problems for both organizations and banks. Throughout the world, academic literature and professional researchers have discussed the possibility of business insolvency. Successful prediction at the initial stage of bankruptcy may help the banks reduce their financial losses and assist them to make correct decisions. We used a bankruptcy data set from Polish companies, where synthetic characteristics were utilized to depict higher-order statistics. This study focuses on the analysis of bankruptcy using different Machine learning algorithms. Among them, Random Forest has shown the highest accuracy. This model helps us to detect whether any person or organization will go bankrupt or not.

References

  1. Altman, E.L, "Financial Ratios, Discriminant Analysis and the Prediction of Corporate Bankruptcy", The Journal of Finance, Vol. 23(4), pp.589-609, 1968
  2. Beaver, W, "Financial Ratios as Predictors of Failure, Empirical Research in Accounting : Selected Studied", Journal of Accounting Research, Vol.4(3), pp. 71-111,1966
  3. Maciej Zieba, "Ensemble boosted trees with synthetic features generation in application to bankruptcy prediction", Expert Systems with Applications, Vol. 58, pp. 93-101, 2016
  4. Yanan Zhang, "Towards augmented kernel extreme learning models for bankruptcy prediction: Algorithmic behavior and comprehensive analysis", Neurocomputing, Vol. 430, pp. 185-212, 2021
  5. Talha Mahboob Alam, "Corporate Bankruptcy Prediction: An Approach Towards Better Corporate World", The Computer Journal, Vol. 64(11), pp.1731–1746, 2021
  6. Wang, Haoming and Xiangdong Liu, “Undersampling bankruptcy prediction: Taiwan bankruptcy data.” PLoS ONE, vol. 16, 2021
  7. Ohlson JA, “Financial Ratios and the Probabilistic Prediction of Bankruptcy”, Journal of Accounting Research, vol.18(1), pp.109, 1980
  8. Kubat M, Matwin S, “Addressing the Curse of Imbalanced Training Sets: One-Sided Selectio”, International Conference on Machine Learning, vol. 4, pp.186–197, 1997
  9. Singh A, Purohit A, “A Survey on Methods for Solving Data Imbalance Problem for Classification”, International Journal of Computer Applications, vol. 127(15), pp.37–41, 2015
  10. Hosaka T, “Bankruptcy Prediction Using Imaged Financial Ratios and Convolutional Neural Networks”, Expert Systems with Applications, vol. 117, pp.287–299, 2019

Downloads

Published

2022-06-30

Issue

Section

Research Articles

How to Cite

[1]
N. Saipriya, N. Harshitha, Sunil Bhutada, " An Intelligent Agent System for Bankruptcy Analysis and Prediction, International Journal of Scientific Research in Science, Engineering and Technology(IJSRSET), Print ISSN : 2395-1990, Online ISSN : 2394-4099, Volume 9, Issue 3, pp.364-370, May-June-2022.